December sales and price report

For release:
January 17, 2012

California home sales rise in December, posting 11-month sales high, C.A.R. reports

LOS ANGELES (Jan. 17) – California home sales rose for the third consecutive month in December, marking the highest level since January 2011, according to data from the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.).  Sales also were up from a year ago, marking the sixth consecutive annual increase.

“With the economy slowly improving, home buyers – investors and first-time buyers alike – took advantage of affordable  interest rates and made a push to close escrow by the end of year,” said C.A.R. President LeFrancis Arnold.  “Robust sales over the past few months signal the housing market is treading above water on its own in the first full year without the government stimulus that has helped housing in the last couple of years.”

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 520,940 in December, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide.  December’s sales were up 3.3 percent from November’s revised pace of 504,420 and were up 0.1 percent from the revised 520,330 sales pace recorded in December 2010.  The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2011 if sales maintained the December pace throughout the year.  It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home posted its second consecutive monthly gain, increasing 1.8 percent to $285,920 in December, up from a revised $280,960 in November.  However, the median price was down 6.2 percent from the revised $304,770 median price recorded in December 2010.

“Fourth quarter sales were stronger than we expected, thanks to recent improving consumer confidence and an economy that’s slowly showing signs of growth.  As a result, sales came in slightly above our fall projection,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young.  “For 2011 as a whole, sales reached a preliminary 497,860 homes sold statewide, up 1.1 percent from the 492,290 homes sold in 2010.  However, the statewide median price declined 6.3 percent for the year, to reach a preliminary $285,950, down from the revised $305,010 recorded in 2010.

“Home prices are stabilizing for the distressed market, where we see robust demand, but we continue to see downward pressure on home prices in some higher end markets,” said Appleton-Young.

Other key facts of C.A.R.’s December 2011 resale housing report include:

  • Housing inventory remains tight throughout California, with the Unsold Inventory Index for existing, single-family detached homes declining to 4.2 months in December, down from 5.0 months in November and down from a 5.0-month supply in December 2010.  The index indicates the number of months needed to deplete the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate.
  • Thirty-year fixed-mortgage interest rates averaged 3.96 percent during December 2011, down from 4.71 percent in December 2010, according to Freddie Mac.  Adjustable-mortgage interest rates averaged 2.79 percent in December 2011, compared with 3.31 percent in December 2010.
  • The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home edged up to 58.7 days in December 2011, compared with a revised 58.0 days for the same period a year ago.
  • View Unsold Inventory by price range.

Note:  The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only.  County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales.  Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home.  Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold.  Due to the low sales volume in some areas, median price changes in December may exhibit unusual fluctuation.

Leading the way...® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with more than 155,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

# # #

December 2011 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

Dec-11 Median Price of Existing Single-Family Homes Sales
State/
Region/
County
Dec.
2011
Nov.
2011
  Dec.
2010
  MTM%
Chg
YTY%
Chg
MTM%
Chg
YTY%
Chg
California
Single-
family
(SAAR)
$285,920 $280,960   $304,770 r 1.80% -6.20% 3.30% 0.10%
California
Condo/
Townhomes
$225,270 $224,720   $240,970 r 0.20% -6.50% 13.80% 1.50%
Los
Angeles
Metro.
Area
$265,830 $269,440   $278,360   -1.30% -4.50% 12.50% -3.00%
Inland
Empire
$172,430 $173,150   $178,240   -0.40% -3.30% 10.40% -1.40%
San
Francisco
Bay Area
$455,750 $467,680   $495,520 r -2.60% -8.00% 6.30% -1.40%
                   
San Francisco
Bay Area
                 
Alameda $450,000 $457,890   $478,740 r -1.70% -6.00% -4.40% -5.80%
Contra-Costa
(Central
County)
$518,560 $520,830   $568,600   -0.40% -8.80% 30.30% 11.80%
Marin $693,880 $736,410   $753,680   -5.80% -7.90% -13.20% -8.60%
Napa $344,830 $339,470   $350,000   1.60% -1.50% 20.40% 19.10%
San
Francisco
$633,580 $646,800   $678,190   -2.00% -6.60% 1.40% 1.10%
San
Mateo
$595,000 $735,000   $699,500 r -19.00% -14.90% 2.80% -9.70%
Santa
Clara
$535,000 $560,000   $548,000 r -4.50% -2.40% 6.40% -13.70%
Solano $190,200 $190,770   $204,290   -0.30% -6.90% 20.50% 18.70%
Sonoma $325,260 $321,290   $344,680   1.20% -5.60% 1.30% 10.70%
Southern
California
                 
Los
Angeles
$306,950 $291,260   $328,140 r 5.40% -6.50% 14.60% -4.60%
Orange
County
$484,630 $487,610   $499,810 r -0.60% -3.00% 9.00% -5.60%
Riverside
County
$203,650 $200,080   $205,220   1.80% -0.80% 12.00% -4.30%
San
Bernardino
$128,450 $135,280   $134,760   -5.00% -4.70% 7.80% 4.00%
San Diego $359,930 $356,410   $375,790   1.00% -4.20% 16.20% 5.60%
Ventura $391,060 $410,530   $441,570   -4.70% -11.40% 21.10% 5.30%
Central
Coast
                 
Monterey $275,000 $270,000   $235,000 r 1.90% 17.00% -1.40% -5.80%
San Luis
Obispo
$366,670 $354,170   $377,550   3.50% -2.90% 18.00% 32.00%
Santa
Barbara
$429,410 $365,620   $453,850   17.40% -5.40% 25.40% 9.30%
Santa Cruz $475,000 $415,000   $512,500 r 14.50% -7.30% 19.50% 23.30%
Central
Valley
                 
Fresno $140,480 $145,770   $145,280   -3.60% -3.30% 13.70% 14.20%
Kern
(Bakersfield)
$132,000 $134,000 r $125,000   -1.50% 5.60% -5.70% -11.40%
Kings
County
$130,560 $154,280   $158,000   -15.40% -17.40% 26.60% 65.30%
Madera $106,000 $103,330   $143,080   2.60% -25.90% 24.20% -51.20%
Merced $106,110 $117,000   $117,500   -9.30% -9.70% -2.30% -22.30%
Placer
County
$255,560 $256,440   $271,740   -0.30% -6.00% 5.30% 0.00%
Sacramento $162,820 $165,890   $179,040   -1.90% -9.10% 8.70% 11.00%
San Benito $259,200 $245,000   $279,900 r 5.80% -7.40% 14.30% -5.10%
Tulare $127,660 $126,670   $131,510   0.80% -2.90% 6.20% 11.00%
Other
Counties in
California
                 
Amador $142,220 $190,000   $173,330   -25.10% -17.90% 47.10% 47.10%
Butte
County
$198,750 $207,950   $230,000   -4.40% -13.60% 4.00% 31.30%
Humboldt $227,630 $223,440   $248,440   1.90% -8.40% 21.30% 24.70%
Lake
County
$114,170 $128,750   $113,750   -11.30% 0.40% 12.30% 23.70%
Tuolumne $156,670 $157,500   $177,780   -0.50% -11.90% 19.00% 19.00%
Mendocino $204,170 $190,000   $220,830   7.50% -7.50% 30.00% 6.10%
Shasta $148,570 $154,000   $176,870   -3.50% -16.00% 10.70% 5.90%
Siskiyou
County
$131,250 $123,330   $163,330   6.40% -19.60% 18.20% 0.00%
Tehama $132,000 $105,000   $136,670   25.70% -3.40% 12.20% 24.30%

 

December 2011 County Unsold Inventory and Time on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

Dec-11 Unsold
Inventory
Index
        Median
Time on
Market
       
State/Region/County Dec-11 Nov-11   Dec-10   Dec-11 Nov-11   Dec-10  
California
Single-family  
4.2 5   5   58.7 56.6   58 r
California
Condo/Townhomes
4.6 5.8   5.5 r 69.8 67.5   64 r
Los Angeles
Metropolitan Area
4.8 5.7
5.2   62.5 59.7   57.3  
Inland Empire 4.4 5.1   4.7   54.6 53.5   48.3  
San Francisco
Bay Area
3.5 4.3   4 r 64.8 59.2
65.6 r
                     
San Francisco
Bay Area
                   
Alameda 2.9 3.5   3.5   82.5 82.8   84.4  
Contra-Costa
(Central County)
2.8 4.8   4   87.9 86.4   97.9  
Marin 4.7 5   4.7   83.8 66.9   82.4  
Napa 5.8 8.1   7.8   80.3 88.7   84.2  
San Francisco 4.7 4.7   4.2   53.3 42   55.6  
San Mateo 2.9 3.7   3.2 r 40.4 29.9   44.1 r
Santa Clara 2.6 3.4   3.1   32 28.3   34.6 r
Solano 3.9 5.1   5.2   48.3 50.8   51.6  
Sonoma 4.7 5.5   5.4   81.9 88   84.5  
Southern
California
                   
Los Angeles 4.7 5.6   5.3   62.3 59   56.3 r
Orange County 5.8 7   6.1 r 81.5 80.7   82.3 r
Riverside County 4.5 5.3   4.3   57.1 55.7   52.9  
San Bernardino 4.2 4.7   5.2   49.6 49.5   47.9  
San Diego 5 6.4   5.9   61.8 58.7   59.5  
Ventura 5.7 7.5   5.7   75.5 69.3   83.1  
Central Coast                    
Monterey 4.2 4.6   4.9 r 48.4 39.5   45.5 r
San Luis Obispo 4.2 5.7   7   58 63.9   68.3  
Santa Barbara 5 7   6 r 78 65.2   73.7 r
Santa Cruz 3.8 5.3   5.5 r 57.6 46.1   49.5 r
Central Valley                    
Fresno 3.2 4.1   NA   35 36.3   48.9  
Kern (Bakersfield) 2.5 2.5 r 4.6 r NA NA   NA  
Kings County 3.7 5.1   7.5   77.7 46.8   36.4  
Madera 3.8 5.5   6   51.5 36.4   54.8  
Merced 3.8 3.8   3.6   37.4 46.7   35.3  
Placer County NA NA   NA   NA NA   NA  
Sacramento 1.8 2.1   3.4   42 41.9   48.5  
San Benito 3 4.2   4.3 r 51.1 50.9   45.5  
Tulare 3.8 4.1   5.3   35.4 41.7   39.3  
Other Counties
in California
                   
Amador 5.6 9.4   8.3   91 61   75.5  
Butte County 4.5 5.2   7   53.1 74.3   66.8  
Humboldt 5.5 7.6   7.3   67.6 88.4   64.6  
Lake County 6.4 8   9.8   111.9 108.7   95.4  
Tuolumne 5.9 8.1   7.4   91 77.6   64.6  
Mendocino 6.1 7.5   7.8   81.7 72.6   78.7  
Shasta 4.6 5.3   6.5   47 52.3   65.4  
Siskiyou County 8.3 11.5   NA   65.4 123.4   121 r
Tehama 5.7 7   7.6   70.7 65.8   47.9  


Owning a Home Essential to the American Dream, Survey Shows
 

 

June 7, 2011 - Despite the ups and downs of the housing market, home owners and non-owners alike consider owning a home essential to the American Dream.

That's the key finding of a recent survey of people likely to vote in 2012 that was conducted on behalf of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) by Public Opinion Strategies of Alexandria, Va., and Lake Research Partners of Washington, D.C.

"The survey results show that Americans see beyond the immediate housing market to the enduring value of homeownership," said NAHB Chairman Bob Nielsen, a home builder from Reno, Nev. "An overwhelming 75 percent of the people who were polled said that owning a home is worth the risk of the fluctuations in the market, and 95 percent of the home owners said they are happy with their decision to own a home," Nielsen said.

"Homeownership is worth the risk, pure and simple," said Neil Newhouse, a partner and co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies. "Even though the market is weak, people who don't own say they want to buy a house. Almost three-quarters of those who do not currently own a home, 73 percent, said owning a home is one of their goals. And among younger voters who are most likely to be in the market for a home in the next few years, the percentages are even higher," Newhouse said.

One of the more striking aspects of the survey results is the intensity of sentiment among potential voters, according to Celinda Lake, president of Lake Research Partners. "People believe overwhelmingly that owning a home is an anchor to the American Dream," she said. "It's an anchor to your retirement, and it's an anchor to your personal economic well-being."

Among the other survey results:

  • Homeownership and a retirement savings program are considered by voters to be their best investments.
  • 80% of home owners would advise a close friend or family member just starting out to buy a home.
  • Saving for a downpayment and closing costs is the biggest barrier to homeownership.
  • Americans believe that owning their own home is as important as being successful at their job or being able to pay for a family member's education.

"Owning a home isn't just a policy to people," said Lake. "It isn't just a commodity to people. It is a core value."

This national survey of 2,000 likely 2012 voters was conducted May 3-9, 2011 by Public Opinion Strategies of Alexandria, Va., and Lake Research Partners of Washington, D.C. It has a margin of error of +2.19%.

Public Opinion Strategies is a national political and public affairs research firm based in Alexandria, Va. Founded in 1991, it has conducted more than 6 million interviews with voters and consumers in all 50 states and over two dozen foreign countries.

Lake Research Partners is a leading public opinion and political strategy research firm providing expert research-based strategy

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